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Ramalan Harga Emas: XAU/USD menurun ke arah $1,900 apabila ucapan Fed Powell menjadi tumpuan utama

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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to find a major floor at the 200-DMA of $1,856 – Credit Suisse

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Breaking: ​​​​​​​Gold drops below $1,900 for the first time since mid-March

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Stronger-than-expected US economic data boosts the US Dollar across the board. US Treasury yields spike higher, putting pressure on Gold. XAU/USD fell below $1,900/oz, reaching its lowest level in three months. Gold prices tumbled following the release of US economic data. XAU/USD broke below $1,900 for the first time since mid-March and fell to $1,894.
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bears keep control, focus on $1,885 and Fed inflation gauge

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Gold Price stays bearish near the lowest levels since March, braces for the second consecutive weekly loss. Hawkish Federal Reserve talks, upbeat United States data underpin US Dollar strength and weigh on XAU/USD. US-China jitters, Germany’s recession fears and fewer accolades for European Central Bank hawks also favor Gold sellers. China’s official PMIs, US PCE
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Exciting Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD stands firm above the $1,900 mark, while all eyes eagerly await the US PCE Price Index for a burst...

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Gold price fails to attract any buyers or build on the overnight bounce from a multi-month low. Hawkish major central banks continue to act as a headwind for the non-yielding commodity. The US Dollar stands tall near a two-week high and also contributes to capping the XAU/USD. Investors keenly await the release of the US
  • Harga emas menurun ke arah sokongan $1,900.00 menjelang ucapan Fed Powell.
  • Pelabur berhati-hati bahawa komen hawkish Jerome Powell akan mencetuskan kebimbangan kemelesetan dalam ekonomi AS.
  • Harga emas telah jatuh berhampiran anjakan semula Fibonacci 61.8% pada $1,909.00.

Harga emas (XAU/USD) mencabar sokongan penting $1,910.00 dalam sesi London. Logam berharga itu merosot ke arah sokongan psikologi $1,900.00 kerana pelabur menjangkakan ramalan kadar faedah yang lebih hawkish daripada Pengerusi Rizab Persekutuan (Fed) Jerome Powell.

Niaga hadapan S&P500 mencatatkan kerugian yang lumayan semalaman kerana pelabur berhati-hati bahawa komen hawkish daripada Jerome Powell akan mencetuskan kebimbangan kemelesetan dalam ekonomi AS. Menurut Pengurusan Aset HSBC, AS akan mengalami kemelesetan pada suku keempat, diikuti dengan “tahun kemerosotan dan kemelesetan Eropah pada 2024.”

Indeks Dolar AS (DXY) sedang bergelut untuk bertahan di atas rintangan 102.60 kritikal walaupun sentimen pasaran telah bertukar berhati-hati. Kemungkinan besar Fed Powell akan berpegang pada ramalan yang dibuat sebelum ini bahawa bank pusat akan menaikkan kadar pada “kadar berhati-hati”. Presiden Bank Fed San Francisco Mary Daly berkata dua lagi kenaikan kadar tahun ini adalah ramalan “sangat munasabah”.

Sementara itu, data Pesanan Barangan Tahan Lama AS (Mei) juga kekal berdaya tahan walaupun dasar monetari Fed mengetatkan. Data ekonomi meningkat 1.7%, manakala jalan raya menjangkakan penurunan 1%. Mungkin data barangan tahan lama mengatasi bacaan April sebanyak 1.2%.

Analisis Teknikal Emas

Harga emas berada pada skala empat jam berhampiran dengan anjakan semula Fibonacci 61.8% (diambil daripada paras terendah 28 Februari $1,804.76 kepada paras tertinggi 3 Mei pada $2,079.76) jatuh pada $1,909.00. Purata Pergerakan Eksponen (EMA) 200-tempoh menurun pada $1,952.74 menunjukkan bahawa lebih banyak kelemahan sedang dalam perancangan.

Indeks Kekuatan Relatif (RSI) (14) turun naik dalam julat penurunan harga 20.00-60.00, menunjukkan bahawa momentum penurunan harga adalah aktif.

Carta Empat Jam Emas

XAU/USD

Gambaran Keseluruhan
Harga Terakhir Hari Ini1910.01
Perubahan Harian-3.73
Perubahan Hari Ini %– 0.19 ( *) Dibuka hari ini
1913.74
Trend
Harian SMA20
1946.56Harian SMA50
1974.04Harian SMA100
1943.21Harian SMA200
1855.8
Tahap

Tinggi Harian Sebelumnya
1930.75Rendah Harian Sebelumnya
1910, 93Tinggi minggu sebelumnya
1958.85Rendah minggu sebelumnya
1910.18Tinggi bulan sebelumnya
2079.76Rendah bulan sebelumnya
1932.12Fibonacci Harian 38.2%
1918.5Fibonacci Harian 61.8%
1923.18Pivot Harian S1
) 1906.2Pivot Harian S2
1898.65 ( *) Titik pangsi harian S31886.38
Titik pangsi harian R11926.02
Titik pangsi harian R21938.29
) Harian titik pangsi R3[194584(*)
XAU/USDGambaran Keseluruhan

Harga Terakhir Hari Ini

1910.01

Perubahan Harian Hari Ini
-3.73Perubahan Harian % Hari Ini (* ) -0.19
Dibuka setiap hari hari ini1913.74
Trend
Harian SMA201946.56
Harian SMA50
1974.04
Harian SMA1001943 .21 ( *) Harian SMA200
1855.8
TahapTinggi harian sebelumnya
1930.75Rendah harian sebelumnya
1910.93

Tinggi mingguan sebelumnya
1958.85Mingguan Sebelumnya Rendah
1910.18Tinggi Bulanan Sebelumnya
2079.76Rendah Bulanan Sebelumnya
1932.12Fibonacci Harian 38.2%
1918 .5Fibonacci Harian 61.8%
1923. *) Titik Pangsi Harian S11906.2
Titik Pangsi Harian S21898.65
Titik Pangsi Harian -Titik S31886.38
Titik pangsi harian R11926.02
Titik pangsi harian R2) 1938.29
Titik pangsi harian R3[194584

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